Zay Flowers Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Zay Flowers

NFL · Player Props

Zay Flowers

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 5, 2024

Updated Oct 6, 2024 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With an impressive 94.1% Route Participation% (94th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates among the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL.
In this week's game, Zay Flowers is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 76th percentile among wide receivers with 6.5 targets.
The Baltimore O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Bengals pass defense has displayed poor efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, allowing 9.97 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are forecasted by the projections to run only 61.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
Zay Flowers has notched far fewer air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).

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