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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an impressive 94.1% Route Participation% (94th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates among the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • In this week's game, Zay Flowers is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 76th percentile among wide receivers with 6.5 targets.
  • The Baltimore O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • The Bengals pass defense has displayed poor efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, allowing 9.97 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are forecasted by the projections to run only 61.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Zay Flowers has notched far fewer air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).

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