Zack Moss Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Zack Moss

NFL · Player Props

Zack Moss

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 73.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 71.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Colts.
In this week's game, Zack Moss is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 20.6 rush attempts.
The leading projections forecast Zack Moss to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack in this game (77.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (55.4% in games he has played).
Zack Moss has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (34.0).
With an excellent rate of 4.39 adjusted yards per carry (75th percentile), Zack Moss rates as one of the leading RBs in the league this year.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to run on 40.4% of their plays: the 10th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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