Zack Moss Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Zack Moss

NFL · Player Props

Zack Moss

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing TD

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 4:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Zack Moss Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+439/-1007).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Buffalo Bills have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 65.4 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-least run-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 37.0% red zone run rate.
The Miami Dolphins defensive ends rank as the 4th-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.
The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box against opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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