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Zack Moss

Zack Moss Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Zack Moss Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Colts.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Zack Moss's 47.1% Route Participation Rate this year shows a meaningful progression in his passing attack utilization over last year's 18.5% figure.
  • The predictive model expects Zack Moss to earn 3.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • This year, the fierce Steelers defense has given up a feeble 70.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the best rate in football.
  • The Steelers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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