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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

Zach Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets will be forced to use backup QB Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

Our trusted projections expect the Jets to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.2% red zone pass rate.

Zach Wilson's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 55.9% to 60.6%.

This year, the feeble Broncos defense has been gouged for a monstrous 3.25 TDs through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the biggest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Denver's collection of CBs has been awful this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the projection model to run just 61.1 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The New York Jets have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 49.5 plays per game.

In this week's contest, Zach Wilson is predicted by our trusted projection set to total the 10th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.4.

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