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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets

Zach Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-175).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

At the moment, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.9% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

Zach Wilson's 61.8% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a noteworthy improvement in his passing accuracy over last season's 55.9% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Jets to call the 4th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The Jets have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.

The New York offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Zach Wilson has been one of the bottom touchdown throwers in the league this year, averaging a miserable 0.62 per game while grading out in the 18th percentile.

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