Zach Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Zach Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach Wilson's running effectiveness (5.35 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (77th percentile among QBs).

Favors Under

The New York Jets will be starting backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Jets are an enormous 8.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 4th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 36.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game performance when facing better conditions in this week's contest.

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