Zach Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Zach Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 4th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to be a more important option in his offense's run game this week (9.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

Favors Under

Zach Wilson has been among the bottom quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 0.18 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 13th percentile.

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