Zach Wilson Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Rushing TD

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Wilson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+431/-975).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +440 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +431.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.
Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-most TDs in the league (1.38 per game) against the Detroit Lions defense this year.
The Detroit Lions defensive tackles profile as the 7th-worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year at opening holes for rushers.

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