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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles

Zach Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 196.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 200.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.

The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.0 per game) this year.

Zach Wilson's throwing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 55.9% to 62.9%.

This year, the porous Eagles defense has given up a whopping 274.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 6th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.

With an awful rate of 184.0 adjusted passing yards per game (24th percentile), Zach Wilson rates as one of the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

Zach Wilson has been among the least efficient passers in the league this year, averaging a measly 6.19 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 15th percentile.

This year, the fierce Eagles defense has surrendered the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a meager 4.8 YAC.

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