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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Zach Wilson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-190/+160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +170 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • Zach Wilson has totaled 0.86 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to attempt 33.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 11th-least of all QBs.
  • The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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