Zach Wilson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Completions

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Wilson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
Zach Wilson's 61.8% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a noteworthy improvement in his passing accuracy over last season's 55.9% rate.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year (74.8% Adjusted Completion%).

Favors Under

The model projects the Jets to call the 4th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Jets have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.
The New York offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

More Zach Wilson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow