Zach Wilson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Completions

Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Zach Wilson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest clip in the NFL vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year (78.8%).
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the NFL.
The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Zach Wilson has been among the least on-target quarterbacks in football this year with a 58.5% Completion%, ranking in the 25th percentile.
The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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