Zach Pascal Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 22

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Zach Pascal

NFL · Player Props

Zach Pascal

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 22, 2022

Updated Feb 12, 2023 10:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Zach Pascal Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-121/-113).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Zach Pascal's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 55.0% to 83.7%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Zach Pascal's 7.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 33.6.
Zach Pascal's receiving skills have worsened this season, accumulating a measly 1.3 yards per game vs 2.3 last season.
The Kansas City Chiefs safeties grade out as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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