Zach Gentry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Zach Gentry

NFL · Player Props

Zach Gentry

TE · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Gentry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Zach Gentry's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 81.4% to 84.9%.
Zach Gentry's talent in generating extra yardage have improved this season, accumulating 8.07 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 5.00 rate last season.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has given up the highest Completion% in football (78.7%) vs. TEs this year (78.7%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.
Zach Gentry's pass-game efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating a measly 6.12 yards-per-target compared to a 7.66 rate last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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