Zach Gentry Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Zach Gentry

NFL · Player Props

Zach Gentry

TE · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving TD

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Zach Gentry Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-5000).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers offense has played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 26.88 seconds per snap.
Zach Gentry's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 81.4% to 93.8%.
The New Orleans Saints defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-least in football.
Zach Gentry has posted a mere 2.0 air yards per game this year: just 18th percentile among TEs.
Zach Gentry grades out in the 1st percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in the league (52.6%) vs. TEs this year (52.6%).

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