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Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Carolina Panthers

Zach Ertz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

With an elite 79.1% Route% (91st percentile) this year, Zach Ertz has been as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.

The leading projections forecast Zach Ertz to accrue 5.0 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Commanders ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3-point favorite in this game.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

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