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Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

Zach Ertz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -180.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Zach Ertz has gone out for fewer passes this season (86.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (73.2%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Zach Ertz to notch 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among TEs.

  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (54.9%) versus tight ends this year (54.9%).
  • The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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