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Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Carolina Panthers

Zach Ertz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

With an elite 79.1% Route% (91st percentile) this year, Zach Ertz has been as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.

The leading projections forecast Zach Ertz to accrue 5.0 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

When talking about air yards, Zach Ertz ranks in the lofty 94th percentile among TEs this year, accruing a staggering 41.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3-point favorite in this game.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

With a feeble 2.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (7th percentile) this year, Zach Ertz has been among the top TEs in the pass game in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

More Zach Ertz Player Props

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