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Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders

Zach Ertz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

In this game, Zach Ertz is predicted by the projections to place in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.5 targets.

Zach Ertz has compiled a colossal 40.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Zach Ertz has been in the 94th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) with an impressive 40.7 figure since the start of last season.

The Commanders O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Cardinals, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (just 29.0 per game) since the start of last season.

With a bad 1.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (9th percentile) this year, Zach Ertz stands among the best pass-game tight ends in the league in picking up extra yardage.

The Cardinals defense has conceded the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 44.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.

More Zach Ertz Player Props

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