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Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

Zach Ertz Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+218/-335).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -312 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -335.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Zach Ertz has totaled significantly more air yards this year (62.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
  • Zach Ertz's 47.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 42.6.

  • THE BLITZ projects Zach Ertz to be a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack near the end zone this week (23.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (35.5% in games he has played).
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (54.9%) versus tight ends this year (54.9%).
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered the least passing TDs in the NFL to tight ends: 0.00 per game this year.
  • The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

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