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Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

Zach Ertz Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+303/-540).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +310 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +303.
  • The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Zach Ertz has put up a colossal 57.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among tight ends.
  • Zach Ertz's 44.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 97th percentile for TEs.

  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 9th-least in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Zach Ertz to be much less involved in his offense's passing attack near the goal line this week (24.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (34.1% in games he has played).
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) to TEs this year (62.3%).
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line has given their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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