Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Zach Charbonnet

NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+126/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -158.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are heavily favored by 8.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to run on 49.8% of their plays: the highest clip among all teams this week.
Out of all RBs, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the 82nd percentile for carries since the start of last season, taking on 39.5% of the workload in his team's run game.
Zach Charbonnet has averaged 42.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league when it comes to RBs (80th percentile).
Zach Charbonnet ranks as one of the leading running backs in the NFL at generating extra running yardage, averaging an impressive 3.34 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 85th percentile.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Drew Lock.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Arizona's collection of LBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.

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