Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Zach Charbonnet

NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach Charbonnet's rushing effectiveness (4.57 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (80th percentile when it comes to running backs).
Zach Charbonnet has been one of the top running backs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an excellent 3.03 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 76th percentile.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to run on 37.2% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Seahawks to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).
Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.

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