Zach Charbonnet Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Zach Charbonnet

NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
In this week's contest, Zach Charbonnet is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 83rd percentile among running backs with 3.9 targets.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (79.4%) vs. RBs this year (79.4%).
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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