Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Zach Charbonnet

NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:07 PM EST

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-104/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seattle Seahawks may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Drew Lock.
Zach Charbonnet has compiled a whopping 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has not been good when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 8.84 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the league.
The Cardinals linebackers project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are heavily favored by 8.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seahawks to pass on 50.2% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Arizona Cardinals, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.2 per game) this year.
This year, the imposing Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a feeble 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the lowest rate in football.

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