Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Zach Charbonnet

NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 23, 2026 9:48 AM EST

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When talking about air yards, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the towering 90th percentile among RBs last year, accruing a whopping 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
Zach Charbonnet has been one of the most efficient pass-catchers in football among RBs, averaging a terrific 6.58 adjusted yards-per-target last year while ranking in the 76th percentile.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has conceded the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86.3%) vs. RBs this year (86.3%).
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has not been good when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 8.23 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see just 127.3 plays on offense called: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
With a poor 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) last year, Zach Charbonnet stands among the leading RB receiving threats in football in space.
When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 9th-best in football.

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