Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 10, 2026

Updated Nov 15, 2026 7:42 AM EST

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks may pass less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Drew Lock.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
When talking about air yards, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the lofty 90th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, accruing an impressive 2.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
This year, the feeble Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has yielded a massive 96.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-biggest rate in the league.
This year, the anemic Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a staggering 8.37 yards.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The projections expect the Seahawks as the 4th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Zach Charbonnet's 80.7% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteable diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 87.0% mark.
Zach Charbonnet's 3.8 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a substantial decline in his receiving prowess over last year's 6.6 mark.