Will Levis Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Will Levis

NFL · Player Props

Will Levis

QB · Tennessee Titans

Passing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Will Levis Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 201.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 199.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 201.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
This year, the anemic Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a whopping 5.99 YAC.
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
This year, the strong Steelers defense has given up a feeble 63.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-best rate in the league.

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