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Will Levis

Will Levis Completions
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Will Levis Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
  • As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
  • This year, the strong Steelers defense has given up a feeble 63.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-best rate in the league.

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