Will Levis Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Will Levis

NFL · Player Props

Will Levis

QB · Tennessee Titans

Completions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Will Levis Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
This year, the strong Steelers defense has given up a feeble 63.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-best rate in the league.

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