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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-245).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

With an exceptional 90.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (90th percentile) this year, Will Dissly stands as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.

Will Dissly's 6.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 15.6.

This year, the stout San Francisco 49ers defense has allowed a paltry 66.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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