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Will Dissly
NFL · Player Props
Will Dissly
TE · Seattle Seahawks
Receptions
Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 24, 2023 12:26 AM EST
NFL Props Will Dissly Receptions

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-245).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +180.

Favors Over
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • With an exceptional 90.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (90th percentile) this year, Will Dissly stands as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends.
Favors Under
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.
  • Will Dissly's 6.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 15.6.
  • This year, the stout San Francisco 49ers defense has allowed a paltry 66.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
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