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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+163/-225).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Will Dissly's 16.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 11.6.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (68.3%) to tight ends this year (68.3%).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the 10th-best collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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