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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.62 seconds per play.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Will Dissly's 18.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 11.6.
  • Will Dissly's receiving talent has been refined this season, notching 2.8 yards per game compared to a mere 1.8 last season.
  • Will Dissly's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 80.8% to 93.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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