Will Dissly Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Will Dissly

NFL · Player Props

Will Dissly

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
Will Dissly has been among the most reliable receivers in the league among tight ends, completing an impressive 82.8% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in football.

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