Will Dissly Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Will Dissly

NFL · Player Props

Will Dissly

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 8th-most in football.
Will Dissly has played on 61.6% of his offense's snaps this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.1 plays per game.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (67.9%) vs. TEs this year (67.9%).
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive tackles rank as the 4th-best DT corps in the league this year with their pass rush.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the quickest in football since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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