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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Will Dissly has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football among TEs, catching a stellar 80.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile.
  • The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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