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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-854).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +418 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Will Dissly has compiled many more air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (7.0 per game).
  • Will Dissly's 18.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 11.6.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.2 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Will Dissly to be much less involved in his offense's passing attack near the goal line this week (10.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (53.5%) vs. TEs this year (53.5%).
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has conceded the least passing TDs in the NFL to tight ends: 0.00 per game this year.
  • The New Orleans Saints safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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