Wan'Dale Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+520/-620).
Key Factors
Favors Over
At a -11.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are massive underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Titans to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
As it relates to air yards, Wan'Dale Robinson ranks in the lofty 81st percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a massive 67.0 per game.
Wan'Dale Robinson's 62.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 90th percentile for WRs.
Favors Under
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 124.6 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans since the start of last season (only 55.2 per game on average).
The model projects Wan'Dale Robinson to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass game near the goal line in this game (18.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (25.0% in games he has played).
Opposing squads have run for the 7th-most TDs in football (1.10 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
The Ravens cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-best group of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.