Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+111/-120).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Titans are a huge 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The predictive model expects Wan'Dale Robinson to garner 6.6 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
The Titans O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Wan'Dale Robinson comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an outstanding 4.5 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.
Wan'Dale Robinson's 74.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a substantial growth in his pass-catching ability over last year's 69.4% mark.
Favors Under
The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.5% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 52.4 plays per game.
Wan'Dale Robinson has been a much smaller piece of his offense's pass attack this year (21.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (29.6%).