Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Wan'Dale Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Wan'Dale Robinson

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+139/-194).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a massive 62.2 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Wan'Dale Robinson's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 77.9% to 82.3%.
This year, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed a monstrous 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 4th-highest rate in the league.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Giants to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in football (just 34.4 per game) this year.
Wan'Dale Robinson's 32.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 40.2.
The Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

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