Van Jefferson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Van Jefferson

NFL · Player Props

Van Jefferson

WR · Washington Commanders

Touchdowns

Washington Commanders vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Van Jefferson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+809/-900).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -4-point underdog in this game.
The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.3% pass rate.
The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Commanders this year (a colossal 59.0 per game on average).
This year, the formidable Los Angeles Rams run defense has allowed a paltry 0.50 touchdowns on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-best rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

Van Jefferson ranks as one of the worst possession receivers in football, hauling in just 54.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile among WRs
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in football vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year (68.1% Adjusted Completion%).
The Los Angeles cornerbacks project as the best CB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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