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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Dallas Cowboys

Van Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 131.5 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.2 plays per game.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Dallas's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Van Jefferson has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, playing on 64.1% of snaps vs just 52.0% last season.

Van Jefferson is positioned as one of the bottom wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 1.4 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 23rd percentile among wideouts.

Van Jefferson rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, completing just 49.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers

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