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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Van Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

While Van Jefferson has earned 8.2% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Pittsburgh's pass game in this week's contest at 14.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 47.7% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.

Van Jefferson is positioned as one of the bottom pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 1.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 21st percentile among wide receivers.

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