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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Van Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.54 seconds per snap.

While Van Jefferson has earned 7.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be much more involved in Pittsburgh's passing offense in this contest at 14.5%.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.1%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (68.1%).

The Broncos cornerbacks project as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Pittsburgh O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

With a feeble 1.4 adjusted receptions per game (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Van Jefferson ranks as one of the weakest WRs in the league in the league.

With a feeble 47.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (14th percentile) since the start of last season, Van Jefferson ranks as one of the worst possession receivers in football among wide receivers.

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