This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3.5 points.The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Van Jefferson's receiving talent has worsened this season, notching just 1.1 adjusted catches vs 2.4 last season.With a subpar 52.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (20th percentile) this year, Van Jefferson places among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among wideouts.As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.
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