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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Van Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Rams are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Van Jefferson has run a route on 90.1% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile among WRs.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions this week.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Van Jefferson has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, completing a mere 54.6% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 3rd percentile among WRs

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