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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Van Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Rams are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 66.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • Van Jefferson has run a route on 91.6% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have run the 9th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging just 55.6 plays per game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers safeties profile as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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