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Van Jefferson
NFL · Player Props
Van Jefferson
WR · Los Angeles Rams
Receptions
Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 20, 2022 12:41 AM UTC
NFL Props Van Jefferson Receptions

Van Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -114.

Favors Over
  • The Los Angeles Rams will be forced to utilize backup QB Baker Mayfield this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (70.9%) versus wideouts this year (70.9%).
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 58.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
  • Van Jefferson has gone out for fewer passes this season (75.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (86.7%).
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