Van Jefferson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Van Jefferson

NFL · Player Props

Van Jefferson

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -4-point underdog in this game.
The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.3% pass rate.
The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Commanders this year (a colossal 59.0 per game on average).
This year, the poor Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a monstrous 4.76 YAC.

Favors Under

Van Jefferson ranks as one of the worst possession receivers in football, hauling in just 54.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile among WRs
Van Jefferson grades out as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a lowly 6.98 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 15th percentile among WRs
Van Jefferson profiles as one of the bottom wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 0th percentile.
The Los Angeles cornerbacks project as the best CB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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