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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Van Jefferson's 61.7% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a meaningful improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 46.7% rate.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Las Vegas's unit has been atrocious this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 49.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.8 per game) this year.

Van Jefferson has been much more involved in his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 67.1% of snaps compared to just 52.0% last year.

Van Jefferson has put up far fewer air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (43.0 per game).

With a subpar 1.89 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (11th percentile) since the start of last season, Van Jefferson rates as one of the leading WRs in the game in the league in space.

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